What Jobs Will AI Replace?

    AI exposure scores for 894 US occupations · Data from O*NET & BLS · Updated 2026

    Occupations Analyzed
    894
    Total US Employment
    204.2M
    Avg AI Exposure
    7.2/10
    employment-weighted
    High-Exposure Jobs
    111.5M
    score ≥ 7
    Low exposure
    High exposure

    Most AI-Exposed Jobs

    Most AI-Resilient Jobs

    Which Jobs Will AI Replace by 2030?

    Our AI exposure map scores 894 US occupations using 12 work-activity signals from O*NET. Tax preparers, insurance claims clerks, and data entry keyers top the list — jobs that mostly involve processing structured information AI can already handle.

    AI-Proof Careers: Jobs AI Won't Replace

    Surgeons, choreographers, firefighters, and skilled trades consistently score below 3 out of 10. Roles demanding creativity, physical presence, or complex human judgment remain far out of AI's reach.

    Frequently Asked Questions

    What jobs will AI replace?

    AI is most likely to replace jobs dominated by routine information processing: tax preparation, data entry, insurance underwriting, bookkeeping, and basic customer support. Our map shows the full ranking of 894 US occupations.

    Will AI replace accountants?

    Routine accounting tasks like bookkeeping and tax preparation have high AI exposure (7–8 out of 10). However, advisory and forensic accounting roles score lower because they require judgment, client relationships, and creative problem-solving.

    Will AI replace lawyers?

    Document review and contract analysis are already being automated, pushing paralegal and legal assistant roles higher on the exposure scale. Courtroom litigation, client counseling, and strategic legal work remain harder to automate.

    Will AI replace software engineers?

    Code generation tools are changing how software is built, but engineering involves architecture decisions, debugging complex systems, and cross-team collaboration. Software engineers score in the moderate range (5–6), reflecting both high computer use and high creative demand.

    Will AI replace doctors?

    AI excels at diagnostic imaging and pattern recognition, but clinical medicine requires physical examination, patient empathy, and judgment under uncertainty. Most physician specialties score low on our exposure scale.

    What are AI-proof careers?

    Careers with low AI exposure typically involve physical skill (electricians, plumbers), creative expression (artists, designers), human care (nurses, therapists), or unpredictable environments (firefighters, police). These roles score 1–3 on our 0–10 scale.

    How many jobs will AI replace by 2030?

    Estimates vary widely. Our data shows about 111,508,290 occupations (those scoring above 7) are at highest risk. These roles employ millions of workers, but many will evolve rather than disappear entirely as AI augments rather than fully replaces human work.

    Scores are calculated algorithmically from O*NET work-activity and work-context ratings and cross-referenced with BLS employment projections. This tool is for informational purposes — individual job displacement depends on many factors beyond task composition.