High AI Risk

    Will AI Replace First-Line Supervisors of Entertainment and Recreation Workers, Except Gambling Services?

    First-Line Supervisors of Entertainment and Recreation Workers, Except Gambling Services face a 73.3% AI exposure score with a 51% displacement probability. Core tasks in administration and Management, management of Personnel Resources, and coordination are increasingly automatable.

    O*NET Code: 39-1014.00 · Data from O*NET & BLS · Updated March 2026
    AI Exposure Score
    73.3
    out of 100
    Displacement Prob.
    51%
    partial displacement
    Augmentation
    49%
    AI assists, not replaces
    Confidence
    92%
    analysis confidence
    AI Exposure ScoreA 0–100 scale measuring the overall vulnerability of this role's required skills, knowledge, and abilities.
    Displacement Prob.The estimated likelihood that AI could fully automate and replace the core functions of this occupation.
    AugmentationThe probability that AI will serve as a supportive tool to enhance the worker's productivity rather than replace them.
    ConfidenceThe statistical reliability of these predictions, based on how closely the role's skills map to direct AI benchmarks.
    0 — Safe25 — Low50 — Moderate75 — High100 — Critical

    This occupation scores above the national average of 48/100 by 25.3 points. The primary risk comes from AI's strong performance in management coordination, representing core functions of this role. The absence of physical presence or social interaction requirements increases overall exposure.

    Skill-Level Analysis

    Which skills are most at risk?

    Each skill in this occupation analyzed against current AI benchmarks. Higher scores = higher AI exposure.

    Management of Personnel Resources
    Motivating, developing, and directing people as they work, identifying the best people for the job.
    92.5
    High displacement
    Benchmark: τ-bench v2
    Coordination
    Adjusting actions in relation to others' actions.
    87.5
    High displacement
    Benchmark: τ-bench v2
    Oral Expression
    The ability to communicate information and ideas in speaking so others will understand.
    85.1
    Medium displacement
    Benchmark: MMLU-Pro
    Speaking
    Talking to others to convey information effectively.
    80.4
    Medium displacement
    Benchmark: MMLU-Pro
    Oral Comprehension
    The ability to listen to and understand information and ideas presented through spoken words and sentences.
    80.4
    Medium displacement
    Benchmark: MMLU-Pro
    Monitoring
    Monitoring/Assessing performance of yourself, other individuals, or organizations to make improvements or take corrective action.
    78.3
    Medium displacement
    Benchmark: AA Intelligence + AA Coding (data proxy)
    Time Management
    Managing one's own time and the time of others.
    77.5
    High displacement
    Benchmark: τ-bench v2
    Problem Sensitivity
    The ability to tell when something is wrong or is likely to go wrong. It does not involve solving the problem, only recognizing that there is a problem.
    77.5
    High displacement
    Benchmark: AA Intelligence Index
    Speech Clarity
    The ability to speak clearly so others can understand you.
    75.7
    Medium displacement
    Benchmark: MMLU-Pro
    Active Listening
    Giving full attention to what other people are saying, taking time to understand the points being made, asking questions as appropriate, and not interrupting at inappropriate times.
    70.9
    Medium displacement
    Benchmark: MMLU-Pro
    Selective Attention
    The ability to concentrate on a task over a period of time without being distracted.
    66.4
    Medium displacement
    Benchmark: AA Intelligence + AA Coding (data proxy)
    Service Orientation
    Actively looking for ways to help people.
    36.2
    High displacement
    Benchmark: IFBench + τ-bench (service proxy)
    What This Means

    The bottom line for First-Line Supervisors of Entertainment and Recreation Workers, Except Gambling Services

    What's most at risk

    The role's most exposed skills, specifically Administration and Management, Management of Personnel Resources, Coordination, reach up to 95/100 on AI exposure. AI systems already match or exceed human performance on τ-bench v2, directly targeting these core competencies.

    Limited natural protection

    This role has no strong physical presence or social interaction requirements, which are the two most reliable barriers to automation. It is predominantly knowledge-based and remote-compatible, which increases overall AI exposure. Workers should proactively build leadership, ethical judgment, and relationship-management capabilities as an active defence against displacement.

    Relatively lower-risk skills

    This role has no skills in the safe or augmentation category. Even the least-exposed dimensions, such as Service Orientation (36.2/100) and Customer and Personal Service (44.9/100), carry meaningful AI risk. Prioritise building leadership, ethical judgment, and complex stakeholder management: dimensions where AI consistently underperforms across all current benchmarks.

    How this compares

    At 73.3/100, First-Line Supervisors of Entertainment and Recreation Workers, Except Gambling Services rank above the national average of 48/100. Among the lower-risk occupations in this cluster, safer than First-Line Supervisors of Passenger Attendants (67.5/100). The role sits among the top 30% most AI-exposed occupations.

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    Lower-Risk Alternatives

    Careers that use similar skills with less AI risk

    Based on skill overlap analysis — these occupations share core competencies with First-Line Supervisors of Entertainment and Recreation Workers, Except Gambling Services but have significantly lower automation exposure.

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    FAQ

    Common questions about First-Line Supervisors of Entertainment and Recreation Workers, Except Gambling Services and AI

    Will AI completely replace this occupation?

    Partial displacement is the most likely outcome. The 51% probability suggests roughly that share of current tasks could be automated, while the remainder stays human-led. Workers who invest in interpersonal coordination and judgment will be well positioned to manage and supervise the AI-handled portions.

    When will AI start affecting this job?

    It's already happening. AI tools capable of handling administration and Management and management of Personnel Resources are widely deployed in enterprise software today. The question isn't if, but how quickly the remaining positions consolidate. Employment projections for this occupational category reflect continued pressure over the next decade.

    What skills should I develop to stay relevant?

    This profile has limited natural protection, making active investment especially important. Build capabilities AI consistently struggles with: complex stakeholder management, ethical judgment under uncertainty, creative problem framing, and cross-functional leadership. These aren't easily benchmarked, which is precisely why they retain durable value.

    What careers can I switch to with my current skills?

    Your skills transfer well to roles like First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers (51.6/100 AI risk, 20% skill overlap), Training and Development Specialists (54.3/100 AI risk, 20% skill overlap), and First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers (54.5/100 AI risk, 20% skill overlap). PathScorer can analyse your full profile and surface even more personalised matches. Try it free here.

    How is this AI risk score calculated?

    We analyse each occupation's O*NET skill profile, covering 35+ dimensions across knowledge areas, skills, and abilities, and benchmark each against current AI capabilities (MMLU-Pro for language comprehension, τ-bench v2 for task completion, MATH-500 for mathematical reasoning, LiveCodeBench for coding, and others). Each dimension is weighted by its O*NET importance score for the occupation. Physical presence requirements and social interaction levels from O*NET work context data are also factored in. Scores are updated weekly as new AI benchmarks are published. See the full methodology →

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    Methodology: AI exposure scores are calculated by analyzing O*NET occupational skill profiles against current AI capability benchmarks. Skill importance and level data from O*NET 28.1. Employment and salary data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS). AI benchmarks include MMLU-Pro (language comprehension), τ-bench v2 (task completion), SWE-bench (code generation), and others. Physical presence and social interaction factors are derived from O*NET work context data. Scores are updated quarterly as new AI benchmarks are published. See full methodology →
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